3-6-08 Serious Flooding On The Way?

WOW..........Low pressure forecast to move up over Connecticut Friday Night and Saturday could be a serious problem for the local area. The GFS and NAM agree on many areas with 3" of rain coming down very quickly. With rivers currently at or just over flood stage, this is not good news. The tropical moisture with this system seems very impressive.

3-5-08 Wednesday

The Thunder verified! We also had a wind gust to 68mph in Voluntown! The Housatonic River flowed over its bank in New Milford. Rte. 7 was closed due to the water near the intersection of 202/67.
Temperatures reached well in to the 50s today!

Our next concern is a rapidly deepening system for late Friday and Saturday. This thing looks intense! 500 mb tries to go negative tilt and the QPF is quite heavy. 00z run shows very warm air and the tropical connection is impressive! It has been trending to a warmer looking system through the runs today. It should turn colder Sunday in a post system NW flow.

Watching Tuesday Night & Wednesday

A low pressure center is forecast to move over Middletown CT Tuesday Night & Wednesday Morning. The GFS has copious amounts of rain and the NAM has half as much. Temperatures look tricky with a cold front sneaking in our direction from Canada Tuesday. Warm air will be running North at the same time. I am a little concerned about the risk of freezing rain for areas near the Mass. line for a period of time Tuesday Night before the WAA takes over Wednesday AM with very heavy rain. Stability idicies also hint at thunder possible at night! We shall see!

Also...one more thing. The heavy rain and mild air will combine with deep snowpack to raise the flood potential in CT. I will be watching this closely!

Rain-Rain & Yes......More Rain!

Another warm "moisture rich" system is dominating Connecticut's weather again! Currently @ 1:30AM it is a balmy 51 degrees in New Haven with a steady Southerly wind. I am forecasting 1" to 1.5" of rain from this system. The only exception will be NW Connecticut with 0.6" to 1" in the forecast there. I hope your Sump Pump is ready!

I also think some areas will reach 60 degrees Monday Afternoon. A big difference from 5 years ago when I started @ WTNH and we had a Blizzard on our hands! Click here to read about that storm!

I do expect some chilly air to return midweek. I am also watching a clipper closely for Wednesday. It doesn't look like much now....but we know how this Winter delivers surprises!

-Gil

A Busy Day! Snow to Ice!

What a busy day! The snow arrived around 4PM in New HAven. I was setting up with Keith Porter to go live with the SkyMax Mobile Weather Lab when it started.

We did two live shots stationary at the Cine 4 theatre location next to I-91 in New Haven with success! We then packed up and drove up and down I-91 plus I-95 with live hits in the 5:30PM and 6PM! It worked very, very well!

The snow continued through the evening statewide. This is how Court St. looked when I ran home to change in to a suit! Steady snow and about 25 degrees!

Sleet started to mix in around 10PM from New Haven Southwest through lower Fairfield County. Many reports of 2" to 4" of snow around the state. AS of writing this......it is 30.9 degrees 11 stories up with freezing rain! Good Night!

Okay I'm still up and I'm now worried about heavy Icing In Litchfield County with low temps and High forecast QPF.

Good Night for real!

Snow & Ice On The Way For Later Today!

Just high cirrus clouds over New Haven @ 9:30AM local. 06z runs still holding up the 00z trend. Temp just climbed to 23. Waiting on the 12z run!!

Radar imagery shows precip aloft to the SW of KNYC @ 10AM

INTERESTING WEATHER!

The weather has been really active. We have had thunder and lightning a couple of times in the past week. Blinding snow squalls this past Sunday.....temperatures in the 50s and near zero. I went on Monday Night with a forecast showing 3" to 6" of snow for the entire state Tuesday Evening (tonight). It should change to ice then rain from South to North. As I type this @ 1:15AM....most of the state has temperatures ranging from 11 to 18 degrees. I expect the snow to develop between 3PM and 6PM from West to East!

HERE IS THE 00Z NAM 36 HR ACCUMULATED SNOWHERE IS THE 00Z GFS 36 HR ACCUMULATED SNOW